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Sacramento, CA · ZIP 95621 · Census Tract 06067008129 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$433K
Downside (P10)
$380K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$466K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$573K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $186K | $214K | $242K | $256K | $269K | $290K | $365K | $363K | $417K | $433K | $426K | $446K | $466K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$259,020 | -$247,020 | -$218,720 | -$190,920 | -$176,920 | -$163,720 | -$142,920 | -$67,720 | -$69,420 | -$15,820 | -$6,217 | +$13,446 | +$33,622 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.9% | -57.1% | -50.6% | -44.1% | -40.9% | -37.9% | -33.0% | -15.7% | -16.1% | -3.7% | -1.4% | +3.1% | +7.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $375K | $379K | $380K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $492K | $537K | $573K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$375K to $492K
27.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$380K to $573K
41.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento (Tract 004100) | $435K | $505K | +16.1% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 006706) | $423K | $474K | +12.1% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 006704) | $437K | $487K | +11.4% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 006502) | $439K | $474K | +7.9% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 004904) | $425K | $458K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento (Tract 007026) | $591K | $720K | +21.8% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 007027) | $390K | $471K | +21.0% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005502) | $382K | $459K | +20.0% | |
| Arden-Arcade | $461K | $553K | +19.9% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 000501) | $704K | $838K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento (Tract 006705) | $265K | $301K | $148K | |
| Florin | $231K | $237K | $131K | |
| Arden-Arcade | $224K | $242K | $94K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005205) | $142K | $164K | $78K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 004502) | $119K | $133K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sacramento, CA · ZIP 95621 · Census Tract 06067008129 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$433K
Downside (P10)
$380K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$466K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$573K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $186K | $214K | $242K | $256K | $269K | $290K | $365K | $363K | $417K | $433K | $426K | $446K | $466K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$259,020 | -$247,020 | -$218,720 | -$190,920 | -$176,920 | -$163,720 | -$142,920 | -$67,720 | -$69,420 | -$15,820 | -$6,217 | +$13,446 | +$33,622 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.9% | -57.1% | -50.6% | -44.1% | -40.9% | -37.9% | -33.0% | -15.7% | -16.1% | -3.7% | -1.4% | +3.1% | +7.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $375K | $379K | $380K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $492K | $537K | $573K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$375K to $492K
27.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$380K to $573K
41.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento (Tract 004100) | $435K | $505K | +16.1% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 006706) | $423K | $474K | +12.1% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 006704) | $437K | $487K | +11.4% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 006502) | $439K | $474K | +7.9% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 004904) | $425K | $458K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento (Tract 007026) | $591K | $720K | +21.8% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 007027) | $390K | $471K | +21.0% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005502) | $382K | $459K | +20.0% | |
| Arden-Arcade | $461K | $553K | +19.9% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 000501) | $704K | $838K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento (Tract 006705) | $265K | $301K | $148K | |
| Florin | $231K | $237K | $131K | |
| Arden-Arcade | $224K | $242K | $94K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005205) | $142K | $164K | $78K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 004502) | $119K | $133K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
