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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Orange County, CA · ZIP 92630 · Census Tract 06059052424 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$581K
Downside (P10)
$449K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$614K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$923K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $387K | $443K | $471K | $476K | $494K | $497K | $481K | $497K | $546K | $577K | $581K | $608K | $620K | $614K |
| YoY Change | +14.6% | +6.2% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +0.6% | -3.2% | +3.3% | +9.9% | +5.5% | +0.8% | +4.5% | +2.0% | -1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $478K | $468K | $449K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $719K | $814K | $923K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$478K to $719K
39.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$449K to $923K
77.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Forest · 92630 · (Tract 524.24) | $591K | $614K | +3.9% | |
| Anaheim-Santa Ana-Garden Grove (Tract 088106) | $577K | $661K | +14.7% | |
| Anaheim-Santa Ana-Garden Grove (Tract 087806) | $573K | $656K | +14.5% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 074805) | $567K | $647K | +14.1% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 099247) | $574K | $632K | +10.2% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 089004) | $592K | $648K | +9.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Forest · 92630 · (Tract 524.24) | $591K | $614K | +3.9% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 075003) | $676K | $849K | +25.6% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 074200) | $720K | $886K | +23.1% | |
| Anaheim | $660K | $803K | +21.7% | |
| Seal Beach | $1.43M | $1.74M | +21.3% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 075202) | $724K | $878K | +21.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Forest · 92630 · (Tract 524.24) | $591K | $614K | $474K | |
| Seal Beach | $316K | $337K | $122K | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 074802) | $184K | $205K | $108K | |
| Anaheim-Santa Ana-Garden Grove | $115K | $128K | $84K | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 074403) | $144K | $168K | $81K | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 099248) | $122K | $136K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.