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Orange County, CA · ZIP 92656 · Census Tract 06059062638 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$923K
Downside (P10)
$853K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.05M
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.34M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $485K | $562K | $590K | $618K | $625K | $641K | $649K | $747K | $797K | $898K | $923K | $974K | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +16.0% | +4.9% | +4.8% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +15.1% | +6.6% | +12.7% | +2.8% | +5.5% | +5.8% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $816K | $831K | $853K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$816K to $1.12M
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$853K to $1.34M
46.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliso Viejo · 92656 · (Tract 626.38) | $914K | $1.05M | +14.7% | |
| Anaheim-Santa Ana-Garden Grove | $922K | $1.11M | +20.3% | |
| Placentia | $924K | $1.05M | +14.1% | |
| Cypress | $922K | $1.05M | +13.8% | |
| Costa Mesa | $921K | $1000K | +8.6% | |
| Tustin | $921K | $975K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliso Viejo · 92656 · (Tract 626.38) | $914K | $1.05M | +14.7% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 075003) | $676K | $849K | +25.6% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 074200) | $720K | $886K | +23.1% | |
| Anaheim | $660K | $803K | +21.7% | |
| Seal Beach | $1.43M | $1.74M | +21.3% | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 075202) | $724K | $878K | +21.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliso Viejo · 92656 · (Tract 626.38) | $914K | $1.05M | $491K | |
| Seal Beach | $316K | $337K | $122K | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 074802) | $184K | $205K | $108K | |
| Anaheim-Santa Ana-Garden Grove | $115K | $128K | $84K | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 074403) | $144K | $168K | $81K | |
| Santa Ana (Tract 099248) | $122K | $136K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.