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Monterey, CA · ZIP 93905 · Census Tract 06053000800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$23K
Downside (P10)
$18K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$36K
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$70K
+205% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +205%. The model forecasts this with 19% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $186K | $212K | $232K | $263K | $279K | $364K | $372K | $481K | $500K | $535K | $23K | $29K | $31K | $34K | $36K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$162,891 | +$188,891 | +$208,691 | +$239,991 | +$255,891 | +$340,991 | +$348,891 | +$457,891 | +$476,391 | +$512,191 | +$5,462 | +$8,011 | +$10,465 | +$12,686 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +704.9% | +817.4% | +903.1% | +1038.5% | +1107.3% | +1475.6% | +1509.8% | +1981.4% | +2061.5% | +2216.4% | +23.6% | +34.7% | +45.3% | +54.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $21K | $20K | $17K | $18K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $40K | $50K | $64K | $70K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$21K to $40K
68.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$18K to $70K
146.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $172K | +46.2% | |
| Salinas (Tract 001300) | $396K | $434K | +9.5% | |
| King City (Tract 011303) | $427K | $461K | +8.2% | |
| King City (Tract 011302) | $423K | $454K | +7.2% | |
| Salinas (Tract 010505) | $182K | $182K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $172K | +46.2% | |
| Salinas (Tract 001500) | $736K | $845K | +14.8% | |
| Castroville | $630K | $720K | +14.4% | |
| Salinas (Tract 000600) | $560K | $639K | +14.0% | |
| Greenfield | $551K | $624K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas (Tract 010604) | $693K | $699K | $159K | |
| Salinas (Tract 001801) | $642K | $641K | $149K | |
| Soledad | $619K | $619K | $146K | |
| Salinas (Tract 001802) | $586K | $583K | $130K | |
| Salinas (Tract 010505) | $182K | $182K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Monterey, CA · ZIP 93905 · Census Tract 06053000800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$23K
Downside (P10)
$18K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$36K
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$70K
+205% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +205%. The model forecasts this with 19% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $186K | $212K | $232K | $263K | $279K | $364K | $372K | $481K | $500K | $535K | $23K | $29K | $31K | $34K | $36K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$162,891 | +$188,891 | +$208,691 | +$239,991 | +$255,891 | +$340,991 | +$348,891 | +$457,891 | +$476,391 | +$512,191 | +$5,462 | +$8,011 | +$10,465 | +$12,686 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +704.9% | +817.4% | +903.1% | +1038.5% | +1107.3% | +1475.6% | +1509.8% | +1981.4% | +2061.5% | +2216.4% | +23.6% | +34.7% | +45.3% | +54.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $21K | $20K | $17K | $18K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $40K | $50K | $64K | $70K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$21K to $40K
68.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$18K to $70K
146.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $172K | +46.2% | |
| Salinas (Tract 001300) | $396K | $434K | +9.5% | |
| King City (Tract 011303) | $427K | $461K | +8.2% | |
| King City (Tract 011302) | $423K | $454K | +7.2% | |
| Salinas (Tract 010505) | $182K | $182K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $172K | +46.2% | |
| Salinas (Tract 001500) | $736K | $845K | +14.8% | |
| Castroville | $630K | $720K | +14.4% | |
| Salinas (Tract 000600) | $560K | $639K | +14.0% | |
| Greenfield | $551K | $624K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas (Tract 010604) | $693K | $699K | $159K | |
| Salinas (Tract 001801) | $642K | $641K | $149K | |
| Soledad | $619K | $619K | $146K | |
| Salinas (Tract 001802) | $586K | $583K | $130K | |
| Salinas (Tract 010505) | $182K | $182K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
