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Monterey, CA · ZIP 93930 · Census Tract 06053011306 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$469K
Downside (P10)
$390K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$509K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$789K
+68% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $278K | $269K | $377K | $399K | $449K | $469K | $479K | $495K | $509K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$191,326 | -$200,226 | -$92,426 | -$70,626 | -$20,226 | +$9,462 | +$25,793 | +$39,753 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.8% | -42.7% | -19.7% | -15.0% | -4.3% | +2.0% | +5.5% | +8.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $404K | $397K | $390K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $570K | $672K | $789K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$404K to $570K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$390K to $789K
78.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King City · 93930 · (Tract 113.6) | $464K | $509K | +9.7% | |
| King City (Tract 011305) | $518K | $592K | +14.3% | |
| Greenfield | $510K | $563K | +10.4% | |
| Salinas | $395K | $434K | +9.8% | |
| King City (Tract 011303) | $421K | $461K | +9.6% | |
| King City (Tract 011302) | $422K | $454K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King City · 93930 · (Tract 113.6) | $464K | $509K | +9.7% | |
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $168K | +42.5% | |
| Salinas (Tract 001801) | $629K | $743K | +18.1% | |
| Castroville | $624K | $720K | +15.4% | |
| Salinas (Tract 014500) | $890K | $1.02M | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King City · 93930 · (Tract 113.6) | $464K | $509K | $399K | |
| King City (Tract 011305) | $518K | $592K | $253K | |
| King City (Tract 011302) | $422K | $454K | $225K | |
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $168K | $151K | |
| Salinas (Tract 010505) | $180K | $200K | $118K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Monterey, CA · ZIP 93930 · Census Tract 06053011306 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$469K
Downside (P10)
$390K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$509K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$789K
+68% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $278K | $269K | $377K | $399K | $449K | $469K | $479K | $495K | $509K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$191,326 | -$200,226 | -$92,426 | -$70,626 | -$20,226 | +$9,462 | +$25,793 | +$39,753 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.8% | -42.7% | -19.7% | -15.0% | -4.3% | +2.0% | +5.5% | +8.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $404K | $397K | $390K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $570K | $672K | $789K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$404K to $570K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$390K to $789K
78.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King City · 93930 · (Tract 113.6) | $464K | $509K | +9.7% | |
| King City (Tract 011305) | $518K | $592K | +14.3% | |
| Greenfield | $510K | $563K | +10.4% | |
| Salinas | $395K | $434K | +9.8% | |
| King City (Tract 011303) | $421K | $461K | +9.6% | |
| King City (Tract 011302) | $422K | $454K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King City · 93930 · (Tract 113.6) | $464K | $509K | +9.7% | |
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $168K | +42.5% | |
| Salinas (Tract 001801) | $629K | $743K | +18.1% | |
| Castroville | $624K | $720K | +15.4% | |
| Salinas (Tract 014500) | $890K | $1.02M | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King City · 93930 · (Tract 113.6) | $464K | $509K | $399K | |
| King City (Tract 011305) | $518K | $592K | $253K | |
| King City (Tract 011302) | $422K | $454K | $225K | |
| Salinas (Tract 000400) | $118K | $168K | $151K | |
| Salinas (Tract 010505) | $180K | $200K | $118K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
