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Los Angeles, CA · ZIP 90604 · Census Tract 06037503201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$822K
Downside (P10)
$666K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$865K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $403K | $434K | $445K | $513K | $554K | $573K | $600K | $677K | $701K | $806K | $822K | $852K | $870K | $865K | $841K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$418,969 | -$387,769 | -$376,869 | -$309,169 | -$267,369 | -$248,769 | -$221,369 | -$144,369 | -$120,369 | -$15,869 | +$29,971 | +$47,944 | +$42,936 | +$18,939 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.0% | -47.2% | -45.9% | -37.6% | -32.5% | -30.3% | -26.9% | -17.6% | -14.6% | -1.9% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +5.2% | +2.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $705K | $705K | $666K | $740K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $999K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $950K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$705K to $999K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$740K to $950K
25.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 109700) | $819K | $966K | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 119004) | $819K | $913K | +11.5% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 102105) | $819K | $893K | +9.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 101110) | $825K | $887K | +7.6% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 115104) | $823K | $854K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 104204) | $645K | $780K | +20.9% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104322) | $598K | $709K | +18.6% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 111402) | $897K | $1.06M | +18.3% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104105) | $466K | $551K | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 108104) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 106407) | $412K | $460K | $227K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 119341) | $481K | $514K | $221K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 117405) | $364K | $403K | $202K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 106408) | $497K | $563K | $200K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 113239) | $204K | $231K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Los Angeles, CA · ZIP 90604 · Census Tract 06037503201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$822K
Downside (P10)
$666K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$865K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $403K | $434K | $445K | $513K | $554K | $573K | $600K | $677K | $701K | $806K | $822K | $852K | $870K | $865K | $841K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$418,969 | -$387,769 | -$376,869 | -$309,169 | -$267,369 | -$248,769 | -$221,369 | -$144,369 | -$120,369 | -$15,869 | +$29,971 | +$47,944 | +$42,936 | +$18,939 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.0% | -47.2% | -45.9% | -37.6% | -32.5% | -30.3% | -26.9% | -17.6% | -14.6% | -1.9% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +5.2% | +2.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $705K | $705K | $666K | $740K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $999K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $950K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$705K to $999K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$740K to $950K
25.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 109700) | $819K | $966K | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 119004) | $819K | $913K | +11.5% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 102105) | $819K | $893K | +9.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 101110) | $825K | $887K | +7.6% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 115104) | $823K | $854K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 104204) | $645K | $780K | +20.9% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104322) | $598K | $709K | +18.6% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 111402) | $897K | $1.06M | +18.3% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104105) | $466K | $551K | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 108104) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 106407) | $412K | $460K | $227K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 119341) | $481K | $514K | $221K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 117405) | $364K | $403K | $202K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 106408) | $497K | $563K | $200K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 113239) | $204K | $231K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
