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Los Angeles, CA · ZIP 91016 · Census Tract 06037430301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.20M
Downside (P10)
$1.04M
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.33M
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.88M
+57% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $725K | $765K | $797K | $832K | $888K | $900K | $928K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$472,974 | -$433,474 | -$401,174 | -$366,374 | -$310,074 | -$297,974 | -$270,674 | -$93,174 | -$72,874 | -$9,774 | +$49,657 | +$75,104 | +$133,761 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -36.2% | -33.5% | -30.6% | -25.9% | -24.9% | -22.6% | -7.8% | -6.1% | -0.8% | +4.1% | +6.3% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.0M | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.9M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$1.1M to $1.6M
39.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.0M to $1.9M
63.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 108104) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 115101) | $1.15M | $1.34M | +16.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 108103) | $1.16M | $1.30M | +11.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 115203) | $1.18M | $1.29M | +9.0% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 111204) | $1.21M | $1.29M | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 104204) | $645K | $780K | +20.9% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104322) | $598K | $709K | +18.6% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 111402) | $897K | $1.06M | +18.3% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104105) | $466K | $551K | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 108104) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 106407) | $412K | $460K | $227K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 119341) | $481K | $514K | $221K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 117405) | $364K | $403K | $202K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 106408) | $497K | $563K | $200K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 113239) | $204K | $231K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Los Angeles, CA · ZIP 91016 · Census Tract 06037430301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.20M
Downside (P10)
$1.04M
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.33M
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.88M
+57% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $725K | $765K | $797K | $832K | $888K | $900K | $928K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$472,974 | -$433,474 | -$401,174 | -$366,374 | -$310,074 | -$297,974 | -$270,674 | -$93,174 | -$72,874 | -$9,774 | +$49,657 | +$75,104 | +$133,761 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -36.2% | -33.5% | -30.6% | -25.9% | -24.9% | -22.6% | -7.8% | -6.1% | -0.8% | +4.1% | +6.3% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.0M | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.9M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$1.1M to $1.6M
39.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.0M to $1.9M
63.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 108104) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 115101) | $1.15M | $1.34M | +16.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 108103) | $1.16M | $1.30M | +11.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 115203) | $1.18M | $1.29M | +9.0% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 111204) | $1.21M | $1.29M | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 104204) | $645K | $780K | +20.9% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104322) | $598K | $709K | +18.6% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 111402) | $897K | $1.06M | +18.3% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 104105) | $466K | $551K | +18.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 108104) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles (Tract 106407) | $412K | $460K | $227K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 119341) | $481K | $514K | $221K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 117405) | $364K | $403K | $202K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 106408) | $497K | $563K | $200K | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 113239) | $204K | $231K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
