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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 06230, CA · Census Tract 06230880007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$3.01M
Downside (P10)
$1.36M
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.07M
-31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.67M
-11% by 2030
Base case: -31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to -11%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.0M | $2.9M | $2.4M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | -5.0% | -15.3% | -12.0% | -2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.1M | $1.7M | $1.4M | $1.4M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.3M | $2.9M | $2.6M | $2.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$2.07M to $3.35M
44.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.36M to $2.67M
63.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $3.01M | $2.07M | -31.3% | |
| Tract A301A0 | $509K | $777K | +52.6% | |
| Tract B01500 | $500K | $722K | +44.4% | |
| Tract A30200 | $489K | $686K | +40.4% | |
| Tract B02300 | $1.07M | $1.36M | +26.6% | |
| Tract 720109 | $5.07M | $3.95M | -22.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $3.01M | $2.07M | -31.3% | |
| Tract 00010A | $90K | $150K | +66.5% | |
| Tract G02200 | $76K | $122K | +59.8% | |
| Tract G02800 | $236K | $375K | +58.8% | |
| Tract D20700 | $268K | $420K | +56.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $3.01M | $2.07M | $1.31M | |
| Tract G02200 | $76K | $122K | $135K | |
| Tract E00300 | $79K | $116K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources