What is the home price forecast for Tract 000201?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 000201 median home values at $54,757 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 53.9%.

How confident is the Tract 000201 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $50,691 (downside) to $146,146 (upside), with a spread of 113% of median.

What is the home price forecast for Tract 000201?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 000201 median home values at $54,757 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 53.9%.

How confident is the Tract 000201 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $50,691 (downside) to $146,146 (upside), with a spread of 113% of median.

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Tract 000201 Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Tract 000201 Home Price Forecast

Alpine, CA · Census Tract 06003000201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$55K

Downside (P10)

$51K

-7% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$84K

+54% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$146K

+167% by 2030

Base case: +54% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +167%. The model forecasts this with 38% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$55K	$70K	$76K	$79K	$84K
Growth $ vs 2026		+$15,058	+$21,524	+$24,638	+$29,532
Growth % vs 2026		+27.5%	+39.3%	+45.0%	+53.9%
Downside (P10)		$51K	$51K	$51K	$51K
Upside (P90)		$92K	$114K	$141K	$146K

Location

Tract 000201 on map

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Forecast Confidence

38%

Low Confidence

The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.

Near-term band

$51K to $92K

58.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$51K to $146K

113.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +53.9% · Spread: 113%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 000201	$55K	$84K	+53.9%
Alpine (Tract A01200)	$58K	$95K	+62.8%
Alpine (Tract A02300)	$71K	$108K	+53.0%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 000201	$55K	$84K	+53.9%
Alpine (Tract A01200)	$58K	$95K	+62.8%
Alpine (Tract 000305)	$152K	$237K	+55.6%
Alpine (Tract A00500)	$103K	$160K	+54.9%
Alpine (Tract A02300)	$71K	$108K	+53.0%

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).