Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Yavapai, AZ · ZIP 86303 · Census Tract 04025000804 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$629K
Downside (P10)
$532K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$670K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$899K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $359K | $357K | $432K | $540K | $617K | $629K | $648K | $659K | $670K |
| YoY Change | -0.6% | +21.1% | +24.9% | +14.2% | +2.0% | +3.0% | +1.7% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $539K | $535K | $532K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $785K | $844K | $899K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$539K to $785K
37.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$532K to $899K
54.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prescott | $617K | $670K | +8.5% | |
| Prescott (Tract 001004) | $659K | $732K | +11.0% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000803) | $600K | $657K | +9.6% | |
| Prescott (Tract 001103) | $633K | $681K | +7.5% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000301) | $651K | $696K | +7.0% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000618) | $616K | $645K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prescott | $617K | $670K | +8.5% | |
| Prescott Valley (Tract 000614) | $233K | $275K | +17.9% | |
| Prescott Valley (Tract 000615) | $372K | $435K | +17.0% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000406) | $571K | $665K | +16.5% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000403) | $401K | $467K | +16.4% | |
| Prescott (Tract 001300) | $51K | $59K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prescott | $617K | $670K | $366K | |
| Cordes Lakes-Mayer | $238K | $244K | $126K | |
| Chino Valley | $261K | $274K | $120K | |
| Congress | $247K | $267K | $100K | |
| Ash Fork | $170K | $182K | $84K | |
| Prescott | $51K | $59K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.