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Yavapai, AZ · ZIP 86323 · Census Tract 04025000208 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$262K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$274K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$352K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $134K | $134K | $176K | $199K | $255K | $262K | $263K | $266K | $274K | $263K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | +31.9% | +12.9% | +28.3% | +2.5% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +2.8% | -3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $228K | $234K | $232K | $235K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $312K | $342K | $352K | $300K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$228K to $312K
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$235K to $300K
24.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chino Valley | $261K | $274K | +4.8% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000902) | $267K | $277K | +3.7% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000617) | $255K | $270K | +5.8% | |
| Mingus Mountain | $269K | $290K | +7.9% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000611) | $269K | $308K | +14.2% | |
| Congress | $247K | $267K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chino Valley | $261K | $274K | +4.8% | |
| Prescott Valley (Tract 000614) | $233K | $275K | +17.9% | |
| Prescott Valley (Tract 000615) | $372K | $435K | +17.0% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000406) | $571K | $665K | +16.5% | |
| Prescott (Tract 000403) | $401K | $467K | +16.4% | |
| Prescott (Tract 001300) | $51K | $59K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chino Valley | $261K | $274K | $120K | |
| Prescott (Tract 001300) | $51K | $59K | $30K | |
| Ash Fork | $170K | $182K | $84K | |
| Congress | $247K | $267K | $100K | |
| Cordes Lakes-Mayer | $238K | $244K | $126K | |
| Prescott (Tract 000611) | $269K | $308K | $144K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.