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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Coconino, AZ · ZIP 86024 · Census Tract 04005001500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$526K
Downside (P10)
$412K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$541K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$746K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $257K | $262K | $247K | $247K | $305K | $335K | $374K | $403K | $511K | $526K | $521K | $539K | $541K |
| YoY Change | -8.6% | +1.9% | -6.0% | +0.4% | +23.4% | +9.7% | +11.8% | +7.7% | +26.6% | +3.0% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $449K | $428K | $412K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $659K | $674K | $746K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$449K to $659K
40.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$412K to $746K
61.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagstaff | $517K | $541K | +4.6% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000700) | $560K | $610K | +9.0% | |
| Williams (Tract 002302) | $491K | $526K | +7.3% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000301) | $535K | $548K | +2.3% | |
| Williams (Tract 001700) | $487K | $497K | +2.1% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 001302) | $540K | $548K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagstaff | $517K | $541K | +4.6% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 001101) | $614K | $744K | +21.0% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000302) | $394K | $458K | +16.2% | |
| Tuba City | $57K | $66K | +16.2% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000601) | $692K | $800K | +15.7% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000901) | $681K | $781K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagstaff | $517K | $541K | $333K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 942201) | $81K | $86K | $42K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 942202) | $57K | $66K | $39K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 944900) | $89K | $98K | $38K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945000) | $53K | $58K | $36K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945100) | $62K | $70K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.