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Craighead, AR · ZIP 72417 · Census Tract 05031001102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$131K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$278K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $123K | $150K | $166K | $171K | $176K | $183K | $195K | $191K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$55,281 | -$52,481 | -$25,481 | -$10,181 | -$4,681 | +$7,172 | +$19,445 | +$15,518 | +$4,349 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.4% | -29.8% | -14.5% | -5.8% | -2.7% | +4.1% | +11.1% | +8.8% | +2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $145K | $140K | $131K | $158K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $217K | $244K | $278K | $199K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$145K to $217K
39.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$158K to $199K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000601) | $197K | $214K | +8.8% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000502) | $194K | $211K | +8.6% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000300) | $173K | $188K | +8.5% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000602) | $185K | $201K | +8.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000101) | $186K | $191K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Big Creek area | $223K | $255K | +14.6% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000403) | $270K | $305K | +12.9% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000102) | $226K | $253K | +12.0% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | $147K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | $99K | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | $89K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | $79K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | $72K | |
| Black Oak area | $114K | $121K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Craighead, AR · ZIP 72417 · Census Tract 05031001102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$131K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$278K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $123K | $150K | $166K | $171K | $176K | $183K | $195K | $191K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$55,281 | -$52,481 | -$25,481 | -$10,181 | -$4,681 | +$7,172 | +$19,445 | +$15,518 | +$4,349 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.4% | -29.8% | -14.5% | -5.8% | -2.7% | +4.1% | +11.1% | +8.8% | +2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $145K | $140K | $131K | $158K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $217K | $244K | $278K | $199K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$145K to $217K
39.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$158K to $199K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000601) | $197K | $214K | +8.8% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000502) | $194K | $211K | +8.6% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000300) | $173K | $188K | +8.5% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000602) | $185K | $201K | +8.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000101) | $186K | $191K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Big Creek area | $223K | $255K | +14.6% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000403) | $270K | $305K | +12.9% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000102) | $226K | $253K | +12.0% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | $147K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | $99K | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | $89K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | $79K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | $72K | |
| Black Oak area | $114K | $121K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
