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Craighead, AR · ZIP 72437 · Census Tract 05031000900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$153K
Downside (P10)
$128K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$174K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$247K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $74K | $81K | $83K | $85K | $94K | $96K | $112K | $122K | $146K | $153K | $157K | $169K | $174K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$79,573 | -$79,073 | -$72,073 | -$70,073 | -$68,473 | -$59,373 | -$56,973 | -$40,873 | -$31,373 | -$7,673 | +$3,361 | +$15,403 | +$20,580 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.9% | -51.6% | -47.1% | -45.7% | -44.7% | -38.8% | -37.2% | -26.7% | -20.5% | -5.0% | +2.2% | +10.1% | +13.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $139K | $128K | $128K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $207K | $224K | $247K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$139K to $207K
43.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$128K to $247K
68.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000300) | $173K | $188K | +8.5% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | +7.4% | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | +6.8% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Big Creek area | $223K | $255K | +14.6% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000403) | $270K | $305K | +12.9% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000102) | $226K | $253K | +12.0% | |
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | $119K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | $99K | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | $89K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | $79K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | $72K | |
| Black Oak area | $114K | $121K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Craighead, AR · ZIP 72437 · Census Tract 05031000900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$153K
Downside (P10)
$128K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$174K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$247K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $74K | $81K | $83K | $85K | $94K | $96K | $112K | $122K | $146K | $153K | $157K | $169K | $174K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$79,573 | -$79,073 | -$72,073 | -$70,073 | -$68,473 | -$59,373 | -$56,973 | -$40,873 | -$31,373 | -$7,673 | +$3,361 | +$15,403 | +$20,580 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.9% | -51.6% | -47.1% | -45.7% | -44.7% | -38.8% | -37.2% | -26.7% | -20.5% | -5.0% | +2.2% | +10.1% | +13.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $139K | $128K | $128K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $207K | $224K | $247K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$139K to $207K
43.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$128K to $247K
68.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000300) | $173K | $188K | +8.5% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | +7.4% | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | +6.8% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Big Creek area | $223K | $255K | +14.6% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000403) | $270K | $305K | +12.9% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000102) | $226K | $253K | +12.0% | |
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | $119K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | $99K | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | $89K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | $79K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000200) | $129K | $142K | $72K | |
| Black Oak area | $114K | $121K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
