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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Baxter, AR · ZIP 72653 · Census Tract 05005950200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$187K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$249K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $122K | $119K | $128K | $127K | $134K | $141K | $144K | $155K | $161K | $166K | $176K | $185K | $190K | $187K |
| YoY Change | -2.0% | +7.1% | -0.5% | +5.7% | +5.3% | +1.7% | +8.1% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +5.8% | +5.2% | +2.8% | -1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $159K | $155K | $153K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $217K | $236K | $249K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$159K to $217K
31.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$153K to $249K
51.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home · 72653 · (Tract 9502) | $172K | $187K | +8.8% | |
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | +17.9% | |
| Mill area | $177K | $197K | +11.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950300) | $182K | $186K | +2.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950100) | $162K | $166K | +2.5% | |
| Pigeon | $170K | $173K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home · 72653 · (Tract 9502) | $172K | $187K | +8.8% | |
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | +17.9% | |
| Lone Rock area | $152K | $172K | +13.3% | |
| Mill area | $177K | $197K | +11.6% | |
| Logan | $203K | $221K | +8.6% | |
| Mountain Home area | $201K | $218K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Home · 72653 · (Tract 9502) | $172K | $187K | $96K | |
| Mill area | $177K | $197K | $114K | |
| Lone Rock area | $152K | $172K | $107K | |
| Mountain Home | $162K | $166K | $96K | |
| Mountain Home area | $201K | $218K | $96K | |
| Pigeon | $170K | $173K | $94K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.