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Baxter, AR · ZIP 72635 · Census Tract 05005950900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$208K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$285K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $112K | $113K | $113K | $116K | $119K | $124K | $138K | $151K | $172K | $181K | $185K | $189K | $208K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,170 | -$68,270 | -$67,770 | -$68,070 | -$64,970 | -$61,370 | -$56,970 | -$42,170 | -$29,470 | -$8,170 | +$4,696 | +$8,274 | +$27,888 | -$241 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.6% | -37.8% | -37.5% | -37.7% | -36.0% | -34.0% | -31.6% | -23.4% | -16.3% | -4.5% | +2.6% | +4.6% | +15.4% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $161K | $161K | $154K | $158K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $231K | $264K | $285K | $200K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$161K to $231K
37.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$158K to $200K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | +17.9% | |
| Mill area | $177K | $197K | +11.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950200) | $172K | $187K | +8.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950300) | $182K | $186K | +2.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950100) | $162K | $166K | +2.5% | |
| Pigeon | $170K | $173K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | +17.9% | |
| Lone Rock area | $152K | $172K | +13.3% | |
| Mill area | $177K | $197K | +11.6% | |
| Mountain Home | $172K | $187K | +8.8% | |
| Logan | $203K | $221K | +8.6% | |
| Mountain Home area | $201K | $218K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | $131K | |
| Lone Rock area | $152K | $172K | $107K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950100) | $162K | $166K | $96K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950200) | $172K | $187K | $96K | |
| Mountain Home area | $201K | $218K | $96K | |
| Pigeon | $170K | $173K | $94K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Baxter, AR · ZIP 72635 · Census Tract 05005950900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$208K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$285K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $112K | $113K | $113K | $116K | $119K | $124K | $138K | $151K | $172K | $181K | $185K | $189K | $208K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,170 | -$68,270 | -$67,770 | -$68,070 | -$64,970 | -$61,370 | -$56,970 | -$42,170 | -$29,470 | -$8,170 | +$4,696 | +$8,274 | +$27,888 | -$241 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.6% | -37.8% | -37.5% | -37.7% | -36.0% | -34.0% | -31.6% | -23.4% | -16.3% | -4.5% | +2.6% | +4.6% | +15.4% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $161K | $161K | $154K | $158K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $231K | $264K | $285K | $200K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$161K to $231K
37.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$158K to $200K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | +17.9% | |
| Mill area | $177K | $197K | +11.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950200) | $172K | $187K | +8.8% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950300) | $182K | $186K | +2.6% | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950100) | $162K | $166K | +2.5% | |
| Pigeon | $170K | $173K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | +17.9% | |
| Lone Rock area | $152K | $172K | +13.3% | |
| Mill area | $177K | $197K | +11.6% | |
| Mountain Home | $172K | $187K | +8.8% | |
| Logan | $203K | $221K | +8.6% | |
| Mountain Home area | $201K | $218K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteville area | $177K | $208K | $131K | |
| Lone Rock area | $152K | $172K | $107K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950100) | $162K | $166K | $96K | |
| Mountain Home (Tract 950200) | $172K | $187K | $96K | |
| Mountain Home area | $201K | $218K | $96K | |
| Pigeon | $170K | $173K | $94K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
