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Winston, AL · ZIP 35541 · Census Tract 01133965503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$194K
Downside (P10)
$168K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$204K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$273K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $94K | $114K | $137K | $154K | $159K | $207K | $199K | $180K | $183K | $194K | $194K | $198K | $204K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$109,951 | -$99,551 | -$79,551 | -$56,851 | -$39,551 | -$34,251 | +$13,549 | +$5,149 | -$13,851 | -$11,151 | +$562 | +$3,858 | +$10,089 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.8% | -51.4% | -41.1% | -29.4% | -20.4% | -17.7% | +7.0% | +2.7% | -7.2% | -5.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $164K | $174K | $168K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $234K | $257K | $273K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$164K to $234K
36.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$168K to $273K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison · Arley · (Tract 9655.3) | $187K | $204K | +9.1% | |
| Winston (Tract 120005) | $243K | $316K | +30.2% | |
| Winston (Tract 720007) | $144K | $185K | +28.0% | |
| Winston (Tract 000002) | $157K | $190K | +20.9% | |
| Addison | $124K | $142K | +14.0% | |
| Double Springs | $125K | $135K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison · Arley · (Tract 9655.3) | $187K | $204K | +9.1% | |
| Winston (Tract 080006) | $92K | $121K | +31.6% | |
| Winston (Tract 600004) | $63K | $82K | +30.6% | |
| Winston (Tract 120005) | $243K | $316K | +30.2% | |
| Winston (Tract 640006) | $74K | $95K | +29.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison · Arley · (Tract 9655.3) | $187K | $204K | $105K | |
| Haleyville (Tract 965700) | $107K | $117K | $76K | |
| Double Springs | $125K | $135K | $74K | |
| Addison | $124K | $142K | $60K | |
| Haleyville (Tract 965800) | $79K | $83K | $35K | |
| Lynn | $84K | $91K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Winston, AL · ZIP 35541 · Census Tract 01133965503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$194K
Downside (P10)
$168K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$204K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$273K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $94K | $114K | $137K | $154K | $159K | $207K | $199K | $180K | $183K | $194K | $194K | $198K | $204K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$109,951 | -$99,551 | -$79,551 | -$56,851 | -$39,551 | -$34,251 | +$13,549 | +$5,149 | -$13,851 | -$11,151 | +$562 | +$3,858 | +$10,089 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.8% | -51.4% | -41.1% | -29.4% | -20.4% | -17.7% | +7.0% | +2.7% | -7.2% | -5.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $164K | $174K | $168K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $234K | $257K | $273K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$164K to $234K
36.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$168K to $273K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison · Arley · (Tract 9655.3) | $187K | $204K | +9.1% | |
| Winston (Tract 120005) | $243K | $316K | +30.2% | |
| Winston (Tract 720007) | $144K | $185K | +28.0% | |
| Winston (Tract 000002) | $157K | $190K | +20.9% | |
| Addison | $124K | $142K | +14.0% | |
| Double Springs | $125K | $135K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison · Arley · (Tract 9655.3) | $187K | $204K | +9.1% | |
| Winston (Tract 080006) | $92K | $121K | +31.6% | |
| Winston (Tract 600004) | $63K | $82K | +30.6% | |
| Winston (Tract 120005) | $243K | $316K | +30.2% | |
| Winston (Tract 640006) | $74K | $95K | +29.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison · Arley · (Tract 9655.3) | $187K | $204K | $105K | |
| Haleyville (Tract 965700) | $107K | $117K | $76K | |
| Double Springs | $125K | $135K | $74K | |
| Addison | $124K | $142K | $60K | |
| Haleyville (Tract 965800) | $79K | $83K | $35K | |
| Lynn | $84K | $91K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
