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Winston, AL · Census Tract 01133640006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$74K
Downside (P10)
$56K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$102K
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$189K
+157% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +157%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $97K | $93K | $95K | $102K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$22,873 | +$19,828 | +$21,497 | +$28,757 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +31.0% | +26.9% | +29.2% | +39.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $63K | $59K | $58K | $56K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $139K | $159K | $170K | $189K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$63K to $139K
78.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$56K to $189K
130.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640006 | $74K | $102K | +39.0% | |
| Winston (Tract 600004) | $63K | $93K | +46.8% | |
| Winston (Tract 080006) | $92K | $134K | +46.5% | |
| Lynn | $87K | $91K | +4.2% | |
| Haleyville | $81K | $83K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640006 | $74K | $102K | +39.0% | |
| Winston (Tract 600004) | $63K | $93K | +46.8% | |
| Winston (Tract 080006) | $92K | $134K | +46.5% | |
| Winston (Tract 880002) | $53K | $77K | +45.3% | |
| Winston (Tract 120005) | $243K | $347K | +42.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640006 | $74K | $102K | $133K | |
| Double Springs (Tract 965601) | $125K | $135K | $74K | |
| Addison | $125K | $142K | $60K | |
| Haleyville | $81K | $83K | $35K | |
| Lynn | $87K | $91K | $35K | |
| Double Springs (Tract 965602) | $115K | $112K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Winston, AL · Census Tract 01133640006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$74K
Downside (P10)
$56K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$102K
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$189K
+157% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +157%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $97K | $93K | $95K | $102K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$22,873 | +$19,828 | +$21,497 | +$28,757 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +31.0% | +26.9% | +29.2% | +39.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $63K | $59K | $58K | $56K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $139K | $159K | $170K | $189K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$63K to $139K
78.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$56K to $189K
130.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640006 | $74K | $102K | +39.0% | |
| Winston (Tract 600004) | $63K | $93K | +46.8% | |
| Winston (Tract 080006) | $92K | $134K | +46.5% | |
| Lynn | $87K | $91K | +4.2% | |
| Haleyville | $81K | $83K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640006 | $74K | $102K | +39.0% | |
| Winston (Tract 600004) | $63K | $93K | +46.8% | |
| Winston (Tract 080006) | $92K | $134K | +46.5% | |
| Winston (Tract 880002) | $53K | $77K | +45.3% | |
| Winston (Tract 120005) | $243K | $347K | +42.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640006 | $74K | $102K | $133K | |
| Double Springs (Tract 965601) | $125K | $135K | $74K | |
| Addison | $125K | $142K | $60K | |
| Haleyville | $81K | $83K | $35K | |
| Lynn | $87K | $91K | $35K | |
| Double Springs (Tract 965602) | $115K | $112K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
