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Marshall, WV · Census Tract 54051960006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$393K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$497K
+26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$836K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +113%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $393K | $447K | $462K | $471K | $497K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$53,276 | +$69,092 | +$77,857 | +$103,481 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.5% | +17.6% | +19.8% | +26.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $345K | $319K | $299K | $305K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $634K | $693K | $749K | $836K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$345K to $634K
64.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$305K to $836K
107.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960006 | $393K | $497K | +26.3% | |
| Marshall (Tract 320002) | $373K | $536K | +43.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 720000) | $386K | $540K | +39.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 920004) | $389K | $516K | +32.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 760002) | $349K | $458K | +31.2% | |
| Marshall (Tract 480007) | $357K | $440K | +23.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960006 | $393K | $497K | +26.3% | |
| Marshall (Tract 320002) | $373K | $536K | +43.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 240001) | $316K | $448K | +41.8% | |
| Marshall (Tract 720000) | $386K | $540K | +39.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 000005) | $316K | $439K | +38.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 920004) | $389K | $516K | +32.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960006 | $393K | $497K | $531K | |
| 3 (Tract 020900) | $149K | $161K | $78K | |
| 3 (Tract 021001) | $127K | $135K | $75K | |
| 1 | $104K | $105K | $73K | |
| Moundsville | $108K | $113K | $57K | |
| Benwood | $76K | $85K | $39K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Marshall, WV · Census Tract 54051960006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$393K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$497K
+26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$836K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +113%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $393K | $447K | $462K | $471K | $497K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$53,276 | +$69,092 | +$77,857 | +$103,481 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.5% | +17.6% | +19.8% | +26.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $345K | $319K | $299K | $305K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $634K | $693K | $749K | $836K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$345K to $634K
64.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$305K to $836K
107.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960006 | $393K | $497K | +26.3% | |
| Marshall (Tract 320002) | $373K | $536K | +43.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 720000) | $386K | $540K | +39.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 920004) | $389K | $516K | +32.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 760002) | $349K | $458K | +31.2% | |
| Marshall (Tract 480007) | $357K | $440K | +23.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960006 | $393K | $497K | +26.3% | |
| Marshall (Tract 320002) | $373K | $536K | +43.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 240001) | $316K | $448K | +41.8% | |
| Marshall (Tract 720000) | $386K | $540K | +39.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 000005) | $316K | $439K | +38.9% | |
| Marshall (Tract 920004) | $389K | $516K | +32.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960006 | $393K | $497K | $531K | |
| 3 (Tract 020900) | $149K | $161K | $78K | |
| 3 (Tract 021001) | $127K | $135K | $75K | |
| 1 | $104K | $105K | $73K | |
| Moundsville | $108K | $113K | $57K | |
| Benwood | $76K | $85K | $39K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
