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Fayette, WV · ZIP 25036 · Census Tract 54019020800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$98K
Downside (P10)
$80K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$101K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$152K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $58K | $61K | $72K | $68K | $82K | $81K | $83K | $85K | $92K | $96K | $98K | $99K | $102K | $101K | $100K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$39,891 | -$37,091 | -$26,591 | -$29,991 | -$15,791 | -$17,691 | -$15,391 | -$12,791 | -$5,991 | -$2,291 | +$1,096 | +$4,155 | +$2,390 | +$1,869 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.6% | -37.8% | -27.1% | -30.5% | -16.1% | -18.0% | -15.7% | -13.0% | -6.1% | -2.3% | +1.1% | +4.2% | +2.4% | +1.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $88K | $87K | $80K | $87K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $117K | $129K | $152K | $112K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$88K to $117K
29.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$87K to $112K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley | $96K | $101K | +4.5% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020400) | $89K | $99K | +10.8% | |
| New Haven | $98K | $105K | +7.4% | |
| Valley area | $95K | $101K | +6.5% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020500) | $98K | $104K | +6.4% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020101) | $120K | $127K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley | $96K | $101K | +4.5% | |
| New Haven | $128K | $144K | +12.5% | |
| New Haven area | $163K | $183K | +12.1% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020400) | $89K | $99K | +10.8% | |
| Valley | $75K | $81K | +7.8% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020201) | $125K | $135K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley | $96K | $101K | $72K | |
| Plateau (Tract 020500) | $98K | $104K | $58K | |
| Plateau (Tract 020400) | $89K | $99K | $54K | |
| Valley | $75K | $81K | $53K | |
| Valley area (Tract 020900) | $95K | $101K | $50K | |
| Valley area (Tract 020600) | $75K | $80K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Fayette, WV · ZIP 25036 · Census Tract 54019020800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$98K
Downside (P10)
$80K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$101K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$152K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $58K | $61K | $72K | $68K | $82K | $81K | $83K | $85K | $92K | $96K | $98K | $99K | $102K | $101K | $100K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$39,891 | -$37,091 | -$26,591 | -$29,991 | -$15,791 | -$17,691 | -$15,391 | -$12,791 | -$5,991 | -$2,291 | +$1,096 | +$4,155 | +$2,390 | +$1,869 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.6% | -37.8% | -27.1% | -30.5% | -16.1% | -18.0% | -15.7% | -13.0% | -6.1% | -2.3% | +1.1% | +4.2% | +2.4% | +1.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $88K | $87K | $80K | $87K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $117K | $129K | $152K | $112K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$88K to $117K
29.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$87K to $112K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley | $96K | $101K | +4.5% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020400) | $89K | $99K | +10.8% | |
| New Haven | $98K | $105K | +7.4% | |
| Valley area | $95K | $101K | +6.5% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020500) | $98K | $104K | +6.4% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020101) | $120K | $127K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley | $96K | $101K | +4.5% | |
| New Haven | $128K | $144K | +12.5% | |
| New Haven area | $163K | $183K | +12.1% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020400) | $89K | $99K | +10.8% | |
| Valley | $75K | $81K | +7.8% | |
| Plateau (Tract 020201) | $125K | $135K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley | $96K | $101K | $72K | |
| Plateau (Tract 020500) | $98K | $104K | $58K | |
| Plateau (Tract 020400) | $89K | $99K | $54K | |
| Valley | $75K | $81K | $53K | |
| Valley area (Tract 020900) | $95K | $101K | $50K | |
| Valley area (Tract 020600) | $75K | $80K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
