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Vernon, WI · ZIP 54634 · Census Tract 55123960100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$203K
Downside (P10)
$170K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$221K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$325K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $134K | $138K | $139K | $146K | $145K | $148K | $153K | $172K | $180K | $196K | $203K | $207K | $216K | $221K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | +0.9% | +5.1% | -1.2% | +2.7% | +2.8% | +12.7% | +4.8% | +9.1% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +4.2% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $179K | $170K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $260K | $286K | $325K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$173K to $260K
42.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$170K to $325K
70.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsboro area | $199K | $221K | +10.8% | |
| Genoa area | $234K | $252K | +7.8% | |
| Franklin area | $229K | $246K | +7.4% | |
| Viroqua area | $216K | $231K | +7.0% | |
| Christiana area | $217K | $226K | +4.2% | |
| Whitestown area | $215K | $220K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsboro area | $199K | $221K | +10.8% | |
| Jefferson area | $273K | $296K | +8.6% | |
| Genoa area | $234K | $252K | +7.8% | |
| Franklin area | $229K | $246K | +7.4% | |
| Viroqua area | $216K | $231K | +7.0% | |
| Christiana area | $217K | $226K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsboro area | $199K | $221K | $155K | |
| Viroqua area | $216K | $231K | $135K | |
| Franklin area | $229K | $246K | $125K | |
| Jefferson area | $273K | $296K | $121K | |
| Whitestown area | $215K | $220K | $109K | |
| Christiana area | $217K | $226K | $101K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.