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St. Croix, WI · ZIP 54022 · Census Tract 55109120901 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$341K
Downside (P10)
$288K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$367K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$469K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $187K | $190K | $200K | $210K | $214K | $242K | $258K | $277K | $295K | $335K | $341K | $353K | $359K | $367K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +5.6% | +4.8% | +1.7% | +13.3% | +6.4% | +7.6% | +6.3% | +13.9% | +1.5% | +3.7% | +1.8% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $310K | $288K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $420K | $446K | $469K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$307K to $420K
32.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$288K to $469K
49.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kinnickinnic area · River Falls · (Tract 1209.1) | $345K | $367K | +6.4% | |
| Hammond area | $356K | $383K | +7.4% | |
| Baldwin area | $321K | $352K | +9.7% | |
| Stanton area | $319K | $344K | +7.8% | |
| Glenwood area | $318K | $350K | +10.1% | |
| New Richmond area | $300K | $331K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kinnickinnic area · River Falls · (Tract 1209.1) | $345K | $367K | +6.4% | |
| Hudson | $391K | $448K | +14.7% | |
| Baldwin | $280K | $313K | +11.8% | |
| New Richmond area | $300K | $331K | +10.4% | |
| Glenwood area | $318K | $350K | +10.1% | |
| Baldwin area | $321K | $352K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kinnickinnic area · River Falls · (Tract 1209.1) | $345K | $367K | $181K | |
| Baldwin | $280K | $313K | $164K | |
| New Richmond area (Tract 120502) | $297K | $314K | $176K | |
| Glenwood area | $318K | $350K | $191K | |
| New Richmond area (Tract 120501) | $300K | $331K | $196K | |
| Baldwin area | $321K | $352K | $197K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.