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Racine, WI · ZIP 53182 · Census Tract 55101001801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$302K
Downside (P10)
$257K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$332K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$419K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $193K | $180K | $176K | $181K | $199K | $218K | $254K | $271K | $301K | $302K | $307K | $321K | $332K |
| YoY Change | +11.1% | -6.6% | -1.8% | +2.4% | +10.2% | +9.3% | +16.6% | +6.9% | +10.8% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $254K | $246K | $257K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $374K | $411K | $419K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$254K to $374K
39.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$257K to $419K
48.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Grove area | $304K | $332K | +9.4% | |
| Caledonia | $308K | $356K | +15.6% | |
| Dover | $301K | $322K | +6.7% | |
| Wind Point area | $301K | $320K | +6.6% | |
| Mount Pleasant | $313K | $329K | +5.1% | |
| Burlington | $307K | $314K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Grove area | $304K | $332K | +9.4% | |
| Wind Lake | $428K | $510K | +19.2% | |
| Caledonia | $308K | $356K | +15.6% | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | +13.3% | |
| Racine (Tract 001003) | $175K | $197K | +12.6% | |
| Mount Pleasant | $376K | $418K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Grove area | $304K | $332K | $162K | |
| Racine (Tract 001201) | $152K | $161K | $79K | |
| Racine (Tract 000700) | $161K | $176K | $74K | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | $57K | |
| Racine (Tract 002900) | $101K | $106K | $52K | |
| Racine (Tract 000400) | $86K | $91K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.