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Racine, WI · ZIP 53405 · Census Tract 55101001003 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$197K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$259K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $112K | $112K | $113K | $112K | $113K | $117K | $131K | $151K | $165K | $172K | $176K | $183K | $191K | $197K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +3.9% | +12.1% | +14.7% | +9.8% | +4.0% | +2.6% | +3.8% | +4.5% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $159K | $158K | $154K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $225K | $238K | $259K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$159K to $225K
35.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$154K to $259K
53.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racine | $175K | $197K | +12.6% | |
| Racine (Tract 001301) | $176K | $196K | +11.4% | |
| Near Racine (Tract 000200) | $182K | $196K | +7.6% | |
| Near Racine (Tract 001302) | $178K | $191K | +7.2% | |
| Racine (Tract 001001) | $183K | $194K | +6.5% | |
| Mount Pleasant area | $172K | $180K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racine | $175K | $197K | +12.6% | |
| Wind Lake | $428K | $510K | +19.2% | |
| Caledonia | $308K | $356K | +15.6% | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | +13.3% | |
| Mount Pleasant | $376K | $418K | +11.4% | |
| Racine (Tract 001301) | $176K | $196K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racine | $175K | $197K | $105K | |
| Racine (Tract 001201) | $152K | $161K | $79K | |
| Racine (Tract 000700) | $161K | $176K | $74K | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | $57K | |
| Racine (Tract 002900) | $101K | $106K | $52K | |
| Racine (Tract 000400) | $86K | $91K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.