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Outagamie, WI · ZIP 54961 · Census Tract 55087012700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$225K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$279K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$387K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $161K | $166K | $171K | $183K | $192K | $192K | $223K | $233K | $263K | $266K | $275K | $291K | $279K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | +3.1% | +3.4% | +6.7% | +5.3% | -0.2% | +16.0% | +4.5% | +12.9% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +5.8% | -4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $236K | $238K | $225K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $378K | $387K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$236K to $324K
31.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$225K to $387K
58.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty area | $265K | $279K | +5.3% | |
| Grand Chute | $266K | $299K | +12.3% | |
| Oneida | $278K | $307K | +10.5% | |
| Little Chute | $270K | $294K | +9.0% | |
| Appleton (Tract 010900) | $255K | $270K | +5.9% | |
| Appleton (Tract 011101) | $271K | $278K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty area | $265K | $279K | +5.3% | |
| Kimberly | $188K | $219K | +16.7% | |
| Buchanan area | $282K | $328K | +16.2% | |
| Combined Locks | $316K | $359K | +13.7% | |
| Little Chute | $169K | $191K | +13.3% | |
| Appleton | $173K | $196K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty area | $265K | $279K | $162K | |
| Kaukauna (Tract 012200) | $167K | $183K | $94K | |
| Appleton | $190K | $199K | $94K | |
| Kaukauna (Tract 012300) | $147K | $166K | $91K | |
| Little Chute | $169K | $191K | $90K | |
| Grand Chute | $152K | $165K | $90K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.