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Dane, WI · ZIP 53597 · Census Tract 55025011301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$494K
Downside (P10)
$402K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$545K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$682K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $278K | $285K | $289K | $300K | $309K | $311K | $329K | $402K | $444K | $482K | $494K | $506K | $525K | $545K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$216,056 | -$209,856 | -$205,856 | -$194,956 | -$185,056 | -$183,256 | -$165,056 | -$92,556 | -$50,856 | -$12,656 | +$11,920 | +$30,649 | +$50,621 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.7% | -42.4% | -41.6% | -39.4% | -37.4% | -37.1% | -33.4% | -18.7% | -10.3% | -2.6% | +2.4% | +6.2% | +10.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $405K | $419K | $402K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $598K | $623K | $682K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$405K to $598K
38.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$402K to $682K
51.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waunakee area | $488K | $545K | +11.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 001902) | $484K | $543K | +12.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 001704) | $490K | $531K | +8.4% | |
| Blue Mounds area | $501K | $526K | +4.9% | |
| Madison (Tract 001000) | $505K | $522K | +3.3% | |
| Westport area | $486K | $497K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waunakee area | $488K | $545K | +11.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 011407) | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 002700) | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waunakee area | $488K | $545K | $280K | |
| Dunkirk | $307K | $311K | $122K | |
| Madison (Tract 001804) | $259K | $277K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 002602) | $291K | $300K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 001606) | $161K | $178K | $87K | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dane, WI · ZIP 53597 · Census Tract 55025011301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$494K
Downside (P10)
$402K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$545K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$682K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $278K | $285K | $289K | $300K | $309K | $311K | $329K | $402K | $444K | $482K | $494K | $506K | $525K | $545K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$216,056 | -$209,856 | -$205,856 | -$194,956 | -$185,056 | -$183,256 | -$165,056 | -$92,556 | -$50,856 | -$12,656 | +$11,920 | +$30,649 | +$50,621 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.7% | -42.4% | -41.6% | -39.4% | -37.4% | -37.1% | -33.4% | -18.7% | -10.3% | -2.6% | +2.4% | +6.2% | +10.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $405K | $419K | $402K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $598K | $623K | $682K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$405K to $598K
38.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$402K to $682K
51.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waunakee area | $488K | $545K | +11.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 001902) | $484K | $543K | +12.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 001704) | $490K | $531K | +8.4% | |
| Blue Mounds area | $501K | $526K | +4.9% | |
| Madison (Tract 001000) | $505K | $522K | +3.3% | |
| Westport area | $486K | $497K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waunakee area | $488K | $545K | +11.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 011407) | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 002700) | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waunakee area | $488K | $545K | $280K | |
| Dunkirk | $307K | $311K | $122K | |
| Madison (Tract 001804) | $259K | $277K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 002602) | $291K | $300K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 001606) | $161K | $178K | $87K | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
