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Dane, WI · ZIP 53560 · Census Tract 55025013100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$344K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$366K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$509K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $199K | $200K | $204K | $213K | $221K | $242K | $280K | $300K | $332K | $344K | $355K | $353K | $366K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$148,466 | -$144,866 | -$143,666 | -$140,266 | -$131,366 | -$123,166 | -$101,566 | -$63,966 | -$44,366 | -$11,766 | +$10,849 | +$9,315 | +$21,667 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.2% | -42.1% | -41.8% | -40.8% | -38.2% | -35.8% | -29.5% | -18.6% | -12.9% | -3.4% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $309K | $314K | $300K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $430K | $453K | $509K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$309K to $430K
34.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$300K to $509K
57.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazomanie area | $340K | $366K | +7.4% | |
| Christiana area | $351K | $389K | +10.9% | |
| Burke area | $347K | $384K | +10.6% | |
| Fitchburg | $345K | $374K | +8.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 003100) | $354K | $380K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 003002) | $344K | $369K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazomanie area | $340K | $366K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 011407) | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 002700) | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazomanie area | $340K | $366K | $209K | |
| Dunkirk | $307K | $311K | $122K | |
| Madison (Tract 001804) | $259K | $277K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 002602) | $291K | $300K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 001606) | $161K | $178K | $87K | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dane, WI · ZIP 53560 · Census Tract 55025013100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$344K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$366K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$509K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $199K | $200K | $204K | $213K | $221K | $242K | $280K | $300K | $332K | $344K | $355K | $353K | $366K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$148,466 | -$144,866 | -$143,666 | -$140,266 | -$131,366 | -$123,166 | -$101,566 | -$63,966 | -$44,366 | -$11,766 | +$10,849 | +$9,315 | +$21,667 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.2% | -42.1% | -41.8% | -40.8% | -38.2% | -35.8% | -29.5% | -18.6% | -12.9% | -3.4% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $309K | $314K | $300K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $430K | $453K | $509K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$309K to $430K
34.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$300K to $509K
57.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazomanie area | $340K | $366K | +7.4% | |
| Christiana area | $351K | $389K | +10.9% | |
| Burke area | $347K | $384K | +10.6% | |
| Fitchburg | $345K | $374K | +8.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 003100) | $354K | $380K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 003002) | $344K | $369K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazomanie area | $340K | $366K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 011407) | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 002700) | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazomanie area | $340K | $366K | $209K | |
| Dunkirk | $307K | $311K | $122K | |
| Madison (Tract 001804) | $259K | $277K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 002602) | $291K | $300K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 001606) | $161K | $178K | $87K | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
