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Dane, WI · ZIP 53718 · Census Tract 55025011406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$408K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$441K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$710K
+74% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +74%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $285K | $291K | $333K | $352K | $394K | $408K | $423K | $433K | $441K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,400 | -$117,100 | -$74,800 | -$55,500 | -$14,100 | +$15,548 | +$25,192 | +$33,743 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.0% | -28.7% | -18.4% | -13.6% | -3.5% | +3.8% | +6.2% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $354K | $348K | $342K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $566K | $710K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$354K to $494K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$342K to $710K
83.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | +10.1% | |
| Verona area | $400K | $460K | +15.2% | |
| Cottage Grove | $419K | $462K | +10.4% | |
| Cross Plains area | $411K | $446K | +8.5% | |
| Fitchburg | $396K | $425K | +7.2% | |
| Madison | $399K | $418K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | +10.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 011407) | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 002700) | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | $368K | |
| Dunkirk | $307K | $311K | $122K | |
| Madison (Tract 001804) | $259K | $277K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 002602) | $291K | $300K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 001606) | $161K | $178K | $87K | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dane, WI · ZIP 53718 · Census Tract 55025011406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$408K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$441K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$710K
+74% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +74%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $285K | $291K | $333K | $352K | $394K | $408K | $423K | $433K | $441K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,400 | -$117,100 | -$74,800 | -$55,500 | -$14,100 | +$15,548 | +$25,192 | +$33,743 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.0% | -28.7% | -18.4% | -13.6% | -3.5% | +3.8% | +6.2% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $354K | $348K | $342K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $566K | $710K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$354K to $494K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$342K to $710K
83.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | +10.1% | |
| Verona area | $400K | $460K | +15.2% | |
| Cottage Grove | $419K | $462K | +10.4% | |
| Cross Plains area | $411K | $446K | +8.5% | |
| Fitchburg | $396K | $425K | +7.2% | |
| Madison | $399K | $418K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | +10.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 011407) | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 002700) | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | $368K | |
| Dunkirk | $307K | $311K | $122K | |
| Madison (Tract 001804) | $259K | $277K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 002602) | $291K | $300K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 001606) | $161K | $178K | $87K | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.