What is the home price forecast for Parcel 55025000409 in Madison · 53719 · (Tract 4.9)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $366,611 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 55025000409 in Madison · 53719 · (Tract 4.9)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $366,611 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.6%.

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Parcel 55025000409 (Madison) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 55025000409, Madison · 53719 · (Tract 4.9) Home Price Forecast

Dane, WI · ZIP 53719 · Census Tract 55025000409 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$367K

Downside (P10)

$313K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$391K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$505K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$302K	$310K	$361K	$383K	$362K	$367K	$376K	$385K	$391K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$64,911	-$56,411	-$6,111	+$16,389	-$4,711		+$9,682	+$18,092	+$24,367
Growth % vs 2026	-17.7%	-15.4%	-1.7%	+4.5%	-1.3%		+2.6%	+4.9%	+6.6%
Downside (P10)							$326K	$321K	$313K
Upside (P90)							$435K	$496K	$505K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$326K to $435K

29.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$313K to $505K

49.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.6% · Spread: 49%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 55025000409, Madison · 53719 · (Tract 4.9) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).