What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53077003003 in Northwest Yakima?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $308,574 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53077003003 in Northwest Yakima?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $308,574 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

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Parcel 53077003003 (Northwest Yakima) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53077003003, Northwest Yakima Home Price Forecast

Yakima, WA · ZIP 98937 · Census Tract 53077003003 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$309K

Downside (P10)

$267K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$321K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$393K

+28% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$259K	$269K	$316K	$318K	$301K	$309K	$302K	$317K	$321K	$313K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$49,374	-$39,174	+$7,327	+$9,027	-$7,474		-$7,013	+$8,712	+$12,362	+$4,299
Growth % vs 2026	-16.0%	-12.7%	+2.4%	+2.9%	-2.4%		-2.3%	+2.8%	+4.0%	+1.4%
Downside (P10)							$273K	$277K	$267K	$271K
Upside (P90)							$351K	$365K	$393K	$354K

Forecast Confidence

85%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$273K to $351K

25.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$271K to $354K

26.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: roughly flat5yr expected: +1.4% · Spread: 26%

·The forecast implies mild near-term softness followed by longer-term recovery.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53077003003, Northwest Yakima on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).