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Whatcom, WA · ZIP 98225 · Census Tract 53073000501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$621K
Downside (P10)
$565K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$722K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$969K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $243K | $252K | $271K | $293K | $333K | $395K | $455K | $557K | $595K | $623K | $621K | $664K | $691K | $722K | $645K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$378,891 | -$369,191 | -$350,591 | -$328,091 | -$288,291 | -$226,591 | -$165,991 | -$64,791 | -$26,591 | +$1,709 | +$43,094 | +$69,741 | +$100,702 | +$23,458 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -61.0% | -59.4% | -56.4% | -52.8% | -46.4% | -36.5% | -26.7% | -10.4% | -4.3% | +0.3% | +6.9% | +11.2% | +16.2% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $587K | $564K | $565K | $576K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $890K | $940K | $969K | $744K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$587K to $890K
45.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$576K to $744K
26.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellingham | $624K | $722K | +15.7% | |
| Bellingham | $607K | $678K | +11.7% | |
| Blaine | $632K | $700K | +10.6% | |
| Lynden (Tract 010303) | $630K | $697K | +10.6% | |
| Ferndale | $627K | $670K | +6.9% | |
| Lynden (Tract 010301) | $612K | $613K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellingham | $624K | $722K | +15.7% | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000102) | $486K | $588K | +20.8% | |
| Ferndale | $656K | $758K | +15.5% | |
| Blaine | $585K | $672K | +14.8% | |
| East Whatcom | $449K | $514K | +14.6% | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000202) | $582K | $666K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellingham | $624K | $722K | $403K | |
| Blaine | $463K | $528K | $231K | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000809) | $493K | $541K | $222K | |
| Bellingham (Tract 001204) | $317K | $361K | $197K | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000302) | $254K | $278K | $170K | |
| Lummi Reservation | $246K | $253K | $152K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Whatcom, WA · ZIP 98225 · Census Tract 53073000501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$621K
Downside (P10)
$565K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$722K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$969K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $243K | $252K | $271K | $293K | $333K | $395K | $455K | $557K | $595K | $623K | $621K | $664K | $691K | $722K | $645K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$378,891 | -$369,191 | -$350,591 | -$328,091 | -$288,291 | -$226,591 | -$165,991 | -$64,791 | -$26,591 | +$1,709 | +$43,094 | +$69,741 | +$100,702 | +$23,458 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -61.0% | -59.4% | -56.4% | -52.8% | -46.4% | -36.5% | -26.7% | -10.4% | -4.3% | +0.3% | +6.9% | +11.2% | +16.2% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $587K | $564K | $565K | $576K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $890K | $940K | $969K | $744K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$587K to $890K
45.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$576K to $744K
26.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellingham | $624K | $722K | +15.7% | |
| Bellingham | $607K | $678K | +11.7% | |
| Blaine | $632K | $700K | +10.6% | |
| Lynden (Tract 010303) | $630K | $697K | +10.6% | |
| Ferndale | $627K | $670K | +6.9% | |
| Lynden (Tract 010301) | $612K | $613K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellingham | $624K | $722K | +15.7% | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000102) | $486K | $588K | +20.8% | |
| Ferndale | $656K | $758K | +15.5% | |
| Blaine | $585K | $672K | +14.8% | |
| East Whatcom | $449K | $514K | +14.6% | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000202) | $582K | $666K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellingham | $624K | $722K | $403K | |
| Blaine | $463K | $528K | $231K | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000809) | $493K | $541K | $222K | |
| Bellingham (Tract 001204) | $317K | $361K | $197K | |
| Bellingham (Tract 000302) | $254K | $278K | $170K | |
| Lummi Reservation | $246K | $253K | $152K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
