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Spokane, WA · ZIP 99206 · Census Tract 53063011600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$378K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$409K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$498K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $156K | $162K | $168K | $174K | $189K | $227K | $275K | $327K | $359K | $378K | $383K | $394K | $409K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$219,769 | -$222,169 | -$216,069 | -$210,369 | -$204,569 | -$189,169 | -$151,669 | -$103,269 | -$51,069 | -$19,369 | +$4,271 | +$16,215 | +$30,490 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.1% | -58.7% | -57.1% | -55.6% | -54.1% | -50.0% | -40.1% | -27.3% | -13.5% | -5.1% | +1.1% | +4.3% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $331K | $341K | $341K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $465K | $475K | $498K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$331K to $465K
34.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $498K
38.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwood | $365K | $409K | +12.1% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001000) | $374K | $411K | +10.0% | |
| Spokane Valley | $373K | $408K | +9.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 010901) | $384K | $415K | +8.0% | |
| Cheney-Medical Lake | $371K | $389K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwood | $365K | $409K | +12.1% | |
| Airway Heights | $337K | $405K | +20.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013003) | $655K | $781K | +19.2% | |
| Spokane (Tract 004100) | $486K | $573K | +18.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 002000) | $262K | $308K | +17.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwood | $365K | $409K | $157K | |
| Spokane (Tract 004701) | $371K | $402K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 001600) | $245K | $255K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 002501) | $285K | $309K | $143K | |
| Spokane (Tract 011104) | $259K | $279K | $131K | |
| Spokane (Tract 003000) | $258K | $285K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Spokane, WA · ZIP 99206 · Census Tract 53063011600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$378K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$409K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$498K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $156K | $162K | $168K | $174K | $189K | $227K | $275K | $327K | $359K | $378K | $383K | $394K | $409K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$219,769 | -$222,169 | -$216,069 | -$210,369 | -$204,569 | -$189,169 | -$151,669 | -$103,269 | -$51,069 | -$19,369 | +$4,271 | +$16,215 | +$30,490 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.1% | -58.7% | -57.1% | -55.6% | -54.1% | -50.0% | -40.1% | -27.3% | -13.5% | -5.1% | +1.1% | +4.3% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $331K | $341K | $341K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $465K | $475K | $498K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$331K to $465K
34.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $498K
38.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwood | $365K | $409K | +12.1% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001000) | $374K | $411K | +10.0% | |
| Spokane Valley | $373K | $408K | +9.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 010901) | $384K | $415K | +8.0% | |
| Cheney-Medical Lake | $371K | $389K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwood | $365K | $409K | +12.1% | |
| Airway Heights | $337K | $405K | +20.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013003) | $655K | $781K | +19.2% | |
| Spokane (Tract 004100) | $486K | $573K | +18.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 002000) | $262K | $308K | +17.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwood | $365K | $409K | $157K | |
| Spokane (Tract 004701) | $371K | $402K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 001600) | $245K | $255K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 002501) | $285K | $309K | $143K | |
| Spokane (Tract 011104) | $259K | $279K | $131K | |
| Spokane (Tract 003000) | $258K | $285K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
