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Spokane, WA · ZIP 99206 · Census Tract 53063012802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$404K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$443K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$573K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $201K | $211K | $217K | $228K | $253K | $276K | $324K | $353K | $380K | $404K | $420K | $429K | $443K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$212,049 | -$203,149 | -$193,949 | -$187,349 | -$176,249 | -$151,449 | -$128,049 | -$80,449 | -$51,049 | -$24,249 | +$15,725 | +$25,049 | +$38,882 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.4% | -50.2% | -48.0% | -46.3% | -43.6% | -37.4% | -31.7% | -19.9% | -12.6% | -6.0% | +3.9% | +6.2% | +9.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $365K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $482K | $523K | $573K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$361K to $482K
28.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $573K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Valley · Spokane · (Tract 128.2) | $394K | $443K | +12.6% | |
| Cheney | $412K | $466K | +13.1% | |
| Spokane (Tract 003100) | $411K | $462K | +12.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 003800) | $411K | $452K | +10.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013101) | $404K | $414K | +2.5% | |
| Spokane (Tract 000800) | $409K | $408K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Valley · Spokane · (Tract 128.2) | $394K | $443K | +12.6% | |
| Airway Heights | $337K | $405K | +20.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013003) | $655K | $781K | +19.2% | |
| Spokane (Tract 004100) | $486K | $573K | +18.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 002000) | $262K | $308K | +17.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Valley · Spokane · (Tract 128.2) | $394K | $443K | $210K | |
| Spokane (Tract 004701) | $371K | $402K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 001600) | $245K | $255K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 002501) | $285K | $309K | $143K | |
| Spokane (Tract 011104) | $259K | $279K | $131K | |
| Spokane (Tract 003000) | $258K | $285K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Spokane, WA · ZIP 99206 · Census Tract 53063012802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$404K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$443K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$573K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $201K | $211K | $217K | $228K | $253K | $276K | $324K | $353K | $380K | $404K | $420K | $429K | $443K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$212,049 | -$203,149 | -$193,949 | -$187,349 | -$176,249 | -$151,449 | -$128,049 | -$80,449 | -$51,049 | -$24,249 | +$15,725 | +$25,049 | +$38,882 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.4% | -50.2% | -48.0% | -46.3% | -43.6% | -37.4% | -31.7% | -19.9% | -12.6% | -6.0% | +3.9% | +6.2% | +9.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $365K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $482K | $523K | $573K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$361K to $482K
28.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $573K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Valley · Spokane · (Tract 128.2) | $394K | $443K | +12.6% | |
| Cheney | $412K | $466K | +13.1% | |
| Spokane (Tract 003100) | $411K | $462K | +12.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 003800) | $411K | $452K | +10.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013101) | $404K | $414K | +2.5% | |
| Spokane (Tract 000800) | $409K | $408K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Valley · Spokane · (Tract 128.2) | $394K | $443K | +12.6% | |
| Airway Heights | $337K | $405K | +20.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013003) | $655K | $781K | +19.2% | |
| Spokane (Tract 004100) | $486K | $573K | +18.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 002000) | $262K | $308K | +17.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Valley · Spokane · (Tract 128.2) | $394K | $443K | $210K | |
| Spokane (Tract 004701) | $371K | $402K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 001600) | $245K | $255K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 002501) | $285K | $309K | $143K | |
| Spokane (Tract 011104) | $259K | $279K | $131K | |
| Spokane (Tract 003000) | $258K | $285K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
