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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Skagit, WA · ZIP 98221 · Census Tract 53057940700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$691K
Downside (P10)
$566K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$719K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$989K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $285K | $304K | $318K | $348K | $416K | $445K | $480K | $610K | $644K | $671K | $691K | $706K | $720K | $719K |
| YoY Change | +6.7% | +4.6% | +9.6% | +19.6% | +6.8% | +8.0% | +26.9% | +5.7% | +4.1% | +3.1% | +2.2% | +2.0% | -0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $602K | $620K | $566K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $810K | $892K | $989K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$602K to $810K
29.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$566K to $989K
58.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes · 98221 · (Tract 9407) | $676K | $719K | +6.5% | |
| Lake Cavanaugh | $673K | $775K | +15.1% | |
| Bay View | $677K | $764K | +12.8% | |
| Bow (Tract 950802) | $718K | $804K | +11.9% | |
| Bow (Tract 950803) | $687K | $755K | +9.8% | |
| Anacortes | $705K | $740K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes · 98221 · (Tract 9407) | $676K | $719K | +6.5% | |
| Mount Vernon (Tract 952500) | $433K | $509K | +17.4% | |
| Anacortes (Tract 940301) | $806K | $946K | +17.3% | |
| Lake Cavanaugh | $673K | $775K | +15.1% | |
| Anacortes (Tract 940402) | $608K | $696K | +14.4% | |
| Mount Vernon (Tract 952200) | $436K | $497K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes · 98221 · (Tract 9407) | $676K | $719K | $423K | |
| Sedro-Woolley | $411K | $444K | $242K | |
| Mount Vernon (Tract 952303) | $461K | $494K | $232K | |
| Lyman-Hamilton | $547K | $599K | $227K | |
| Swinomish Reservation | $484K | $526K | $209K | |
| Mount Vernon (Tract 952404) | $288K | $317K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.