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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Seattle, WA · ZIP 98004 · Census Tract 53033024001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.03M
Downside (P10)
$1.68M
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.13M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.80M
+38% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.6M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | +11.4% | +24.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +4.0% | -0.7% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.7M | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.8M | $2.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.85M to $2.63M
37.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.68M to $2.80M
52.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellevue | $2.04M | $2.13M | +4.5% | |
| Bellevue (Tract 022805) | $2.02M | $2.28M | +13.1% | |
| Seattle East (Tract 024100) | $2.03M | $2.21M | +9.2% | |
| Seattle East (Tract 024200) | $2.02M | $2.18M | +7.8% | |
| Mercer Island | $2.02M | $2.17M | +7.1% | |
| Bellevue (Tract 023901) | $2.02M | $2.07M | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellevue | $2.04M | $2.13M | +4.5% | |
| Downtown Seattle | $908K | $1.11M | +22.2% | |
| University District | $1.20M | $1.46M | +22.0% | |
| Redmond | $1.05M | $1.28M | +21.5% | |
| Renton | $549K | $658K | +19.8% | |
| Kirkland | $1.13M | $1.35M | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellevue | $2.04M | $2.13M | $1.12M | |
| SeaTac | $314K | $366K | $191K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030314) | $327K | $357K | $168K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030313) | $203K | $206K | $119K | |
| Auburn | $84K | $99K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.