Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Seattle, WA · ZIP 98023 · Census Tract 53033030306 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$606K
Downside (P10)
$504K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$684K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$896K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $269K | $284K | $313K | $340K | $356K | $369K | $400K | $482K | $566K | $606K | $606K | $619K | $656K | $684K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | +10.4% | +8.6% | +4.5% | +3.7% | +8.5% | +20.4% | +17.4% | +7.0% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +6.1% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $526K | $520K | $504K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $734K | $812K | $896K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$526K to $734K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$504K to $896K
57.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Way · 98023 · (Tract 303.6) | $615K | $684K | +11.2% | |
| Des Moines | $605K | $693K | +14.4% | |
| Kent (Tract 029603) | $606K | $680K | +12.2% | |
| Seattle (Tract 028500) | $602K | $615K | +2.2% | |
| Kent (Tract 029306) | $604K | $615K | +1.9% | |
| Seattle (Tract 028000) | $602K | $601K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Way · 98023 · (Tract 303.6) | $615K | $684K | +11.2% | |
| Downtown Seattle | $908K | $1.11M | +22.2% | |
| University District | $1.20M | $1.46M | +22.0% | |
| Redmond | $1.05M | $1.28M | +21.5% | |
| Renton | $549K | $658K | +19.8% | |
| Kirkland | $1.13M | $1.35M | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Way · 98023 · (Tract 303.6) | $615K | $684K | $392K | |
| SeaTac | $314K | $366K | $191K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030314) | $327K | $357K | $168K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030313) | $203K | $206K | $119K | |
| Auburn | $84K | $99K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.