What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053071604 in Tacoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $404,085 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053071604 in Tacoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $404,085 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 53053071604 (Tacoma) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53053071604, Tacoma Home Price Forecast

Pierce, WA · ZIP 98445 · Census Tract 53053071604 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$404K

Downside (P10)

$344K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$439K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$598K

+48% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$265K	$305K	$353K	$363K	$392K	$404K	$407K	$416K	$439K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$139,485	-$99,385	-$51,085	-$40,985	-$11,885		+$3,248	+$11,787	+$34,544
Growth % vs 2026	-34.5%	-24.6%	-12.6%	-10.1%	-2.9%		+0.8%	+2.9%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)							$348K	$354K	$344K
Upside (P90)							$514K	$546K	$598K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$348K to $514K

40.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$344K to $598K

58.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53053071604, Tacoma on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).