What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053071211 in South Hill?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $454,691 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053071211 in South Hill?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $454,691 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.3%.

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Parcel 53053071211 (South Hill) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53053071211, South Hill Home Price Forecast

Pierce, WA · ZIP 98374 · Census Tract 53053071211 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$455K

Downside (P10)

$367K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$511K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$655K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$274K	$314K	$351K	$408K	$438K	$455K	$464K	$489K	$511K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$180,391	-$140,791	-$104,191	-$46,691	-$16,991		+$9,268	+$34,527	+$56,090
Growth % vs 2026	-39.7%	-31.0%	-22.9%	-10.3%	-3.7%		+2.0%	+7.6%	+12.3%
Downside (P10)							$392K	$372K	$367K
Upside (P90)							$602K	$619K	$655K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$392K to $602K

45.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$367K to $655K

56.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.3% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53053071211, South Hill on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).