What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053063401 in Tacoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $451,304 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053063401 in Tacoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $451,304 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.8%.

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Parcel 53053063401 (Tacoma) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53053063401, Tacoma Home Price Forecast

Pierce, WA · ZIP 98408 · Census Tract 53053063401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$451K

Downside (P10)

$406K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$523K

+16% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$695K

+54% by 2030

Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$239K	$281K	$401K	$414K	$442K	$451K	$461K	$498K	$523K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$212,304	-$170,004	-$50,804	-$36,904	-$8,904		+$9,809	+$46,445	+$71,524
Growth % vs 2026	-47.0%	-37.7%	-11.3%	-8.2%	-2.0%		+2.2%	+10.3%	+15.8%
Downside (P10)							$396K	$414K	$406K
Upside (P90)							$540K	$598K	$695K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$396K to $540K

31.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$406K to $695K

55.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +15.8% · Spread: 55%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53053063401, Tacoma on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).