What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053060907 in Tacoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $487,798 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53053060907 in Tacoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $487,798 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

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Parcel 53053060907 (Tacoma) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53053060907, Tacoma Home Price Forecast

Pierce, WA · ZIP 98406 · Census Tract 53053060907 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$488K

Downside (P10)

$411K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$503K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$680K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$315K	$328K	$400K	$435K	$480K	$488K	$494K	$502K	$503K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$172,798	-$159,398	-$88,298	-$52,498	-$8,098		+$6,522	+$14,277	+$14,965
Growth % vs 2026	-35.4%	-32.7%	-18.1%	-10.8%	-1.7%		+1.3%	+2.9%	+3.1%
Downside (P10)							$407K	$408K	$411K
Upside (P90)							$601K	$627K	$680K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$407K to $601K

39.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$411K to $680K

53.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.1% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53053060907, Tacoma on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).