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Pacific, WA · ZIP 98586 · Census Tract 53049950302 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$275K
Downside (P10)
$231K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$314K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$397K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $163K | $228K | $235K | $261K | $275K | $285K | $294K | $314K |
| YoY Change | +1.9% | +39.6% | +3.2% | +11.2% | +5.1% | +3.6% | +3.4% | +6.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $244K | $236K | $231K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $332K | $366K | $397K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$244K to $332K
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$231K to $397K
52.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond | $269K | $314K | +16.8% | |
| Raymond (Tract 950301) | $344K | $402K | +16.8% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950802) | $328K | $372K | +13.5% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950701) | $356K | $383K | +7.5% | |
| Raymond (Tract 950200) | $279K | $284K | +1.7% | |
| Naselle area | $327K | $322K | -1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond | $269K | $314K | +16.8% | |
| Raymond | $344K | $402K | +16.8% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950502) | $360K | $410K | +13.9% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950702) | $454K | $516K | +13.7% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950802) | $328K | $372K | +13.5% | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950501) | $359K | $401K | +11.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond | $269K | $314K | $166K | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950501) | $359K | $401K | $201K | |
| Long Beach-North Beach Peninsula (Tract 950802) | $328K | $372K | $193K | |
| Long Beach | $369K | $401K | $183K | |
| Naselle area | $327K | $322K | $151K | |
| Raymond | $279K | $284K | $145K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.