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Kittitas, WA · ZIP 98926 · Census Tract 53037975202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$648K
Downside (P10)
$603K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$743K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$962K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $408K | $466K | $529K | $612K | $640K | $648K | $680K | $719K | $743K | $673K |
| YoY Change | +14.1% | +13.7% | +15.6% | +4.6% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +5.7% | +3.4% | -9.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $567K | $589K | $603K | $594K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $743K | $848K | $962K | $745K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$567K to $743K
25.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$594K to $745K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manastash Ridge · Ellensburg · (Tract 9752.2) | $646K | $743K | +14.9% | |
| Manastash Ridge (Tract 975201) | $726K | $830K | +14.3% | |
| Northeast Kittitas | $553K | $616K | +11.3% | |
| Cle Elum | $688K | $759K | +10.4% | |
| Ellensburg | $553K | $607K | +9.7% | |
| Manastash Ridge (Tract 975203) | $689K | $731K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manastash Ridge · Ellensburg · (Tract 9752.2) | $646K | $743K | +14.9% | |
| Manastash Ridge | $726K | $830K | +14.3% | |
| Northeast Kittitas | $553K | $616K | +11.3% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975404) | $429K | $475K | +10.8% | |
| Cle Elum | $688K | $759K | +10.4% | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975403) | $553K | $607K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manastash Ridge · Ellensburg · (Tract 9752.2) | $646K | $743K | $359K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975500) | $419K | $460K | $315K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975404) | $429K | $475K | $252K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975600) | $346K | $360K | $241K | |
| Ellensburg (Tract 975402) | $386K | $419K | $209K | |
| Cle Elum | $419K | $427K | $188K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.