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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Kitsap, WA · ZIP 98110 · Census Tract 53035090800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.19M
Downside (P10)
$968K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.19M
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.82M
+53% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $572K | $605K | $665K | $686K | $730K | $832K | $907K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | +10.0% | +3.1% | +6.4% | +14.0% | +9.1% | +15.0% | +7.6% | +6.0% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $985K | $968K | $1.1M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$1.06M to $1.43M
31.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.10M to $1.39M
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bainbridge Island | $1.21M | $1.19M | -1.7% | |
| Bainbridge Island (Tract 091001) | $1.28M | $1.41M | +10.3% | |
| Bainbridge Island (Tract 091002) | $1.14M | $1.22M | +7.4% | |
| Bainbridge Island (Tract 090901) | $1.00M | $1.05M | +4.5% | |
| Bainbridge Island (Tract 090700) | $1.29M | $1.34M | +4.2% | |
| Bainbridge Island (Tract 090902) | $1.08M | $1.10M | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bainbridge Island | $1.21M | $1.19M | -1.7% | |
| Silverdale | $534K | $637K | +19.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081100) | $379K | $450K | +18.9% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | +18.4% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091600) | $447K | $523K | +16.8% | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bainbridge Island | $1.21M | $1.19M | $854K | |
| Silverdale | $567K | $609K | $234K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 080102) | $384K | $454K | $225K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 081000) | $364K | $421K | $224K | |
| Bremerton (Tract 091701) | $555K | $609K | $216K | |
| Port Orchard | $435K | $461K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.