What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53031950501 in Discovery Bay-Port Townsend?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $556,890 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -1.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53031950501 in Discovery Bay-Port Townsend?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $556,890 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -1.8%.

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Parcel 53031950501 (Discovery Bay-Port Townsend) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53031950501, Discovery Bay-Port Townsend Home Price Forecast

Jefferson, WA · ZIP 98368 · Census Tract 53031950501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$557K

Downside (P10)

$431K

-23% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$547K

-2% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$693K

+24% by 2030

Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$387K	$414K	$450K	$524K	$569K	$557K	$555K	$556K	$547K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$170,390	-$143,390	-$106,690	-$33,090	+$11,910		-$1,563	-$1,002	-$9,830
Growth % vs 2026	-30.6%	-25.7%	-19.2%	-5.9%	+2.1%		-0.3%	-0.2%	-1.8%
Downside (P10)							$464K	$423K	$431K
Upside (P90)							$646K	$656K	$693K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$464K to $646K

32.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$431K to $693K

47.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: roughly flat5yr expected: -1.8% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53031950501, Discovery Bay-Port Townsend on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).