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Island, WA · ZIP 98282 · Census Tract 53029971600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$546K
Downside (P10)
$456K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$550K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $243K | $259K | $286K | $295K | $337K | $352K | $383K | $430K | $474K | $538K | $546K | $549K | $551K | $550K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$303,138 | -$287,538 | -$259,838 | -$250,738 | -$209,038 | -$194,238 | -$163,238 | -$116,438 | -$72,338 | -$8,138 | +$2,769 | +$4,736 | +$4,287 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.5% | -52.7% | -47.6% | -45.9% | -38.3% | -35.6% | -29.9% | -21.3% | -13.2% | -1.5% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $485K | $476K | $456K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $603K | $631K | $675K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$485K to $603K
21.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$456K to $675K
39.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camano | $543K | $550K | +1.3% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970100) | $545K | $615K | +12.8% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970500) | $592K | $628K | +6.1% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971100) | $601K | $636K | +5.9% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971000) | $576K | $595K | +3.4% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970401) | $520K | $516K | -0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camano | $543K | $550K | +1.3% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970402) | $441K | $520K | +18.0% | |
| Oak Harbor | $456K | $516K | +13.1% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970100) | $545K | $615K | +12.8% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971302) | $650K | $714K | +9.9% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971301) | $627K | $688K | +9.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camano | $543K | $550K | $219K | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970900) | $464K | $464K | $263K | |
| Oak Harbor (Tract 970602) | $456K | $516K | $263K | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970401) | $520K | $516K | $261K | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970200) | $413K | $436K | $191K | |
| Oak Harbor (Tract 970700) | $329K | $357K | $178K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Island, WA · ZIP 98282 · Census Tract 53029971600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$546K
Downside (P10)
$456K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$550K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $243K | $259K | $286K | $295K | $337K | $352K | $383K | $430K | $474K | $538K | $546K | $549K | $551K | $550K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$303,138 | -$287,538 | -$259,838 | -$250,738 | -$209,038 | -$194,238 | -$163,238 | -$116,438 | -$72,338 | -$8,138 | +$2,769 | +$4,736 | +$4,287 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.5% | -52.7% | -47.6% | -45.9% | -38.3% | -35.6% | -29.9% | -21.3% | -13.2% | -1.5% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $485K | $476K | $456K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $603K | $631K | $675K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$485K to $603K
21.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$456K to $675K
39.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camano | $543K | $550K | +1.3% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970100) | $545K | $615K | +12.8% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970500) | $592K | $628K | +6.1% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971100) | $601K | $636K | +5.9% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971000) | $576K | $595K | +3.4% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970401) | $520K | $516K | -0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camano | $543K | $550K | +1.3% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970402) | $441K | $520K | +18.0% | |
| Oak Harbor | $456K | $516K | +13.1% | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970100) | $545K | $615K | +12.8% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971302) | $650K | $714K | +9.9% | |
| Central Whidbey Island (Tract 971301) | $627K | $688K | +9.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camano | $543K | $550K | $219K | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970900) | $464K | $464K | $263K | |
| Oak Harbor (Tract 970602) | $456K | $516K | $263K | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970401) | $520K | $516K | $261K | |
| North Whidbey Island (Tract 970200) | $413K | $436K | $191K | |
| Oak Harbor (Tract 970700) | $329K | $357K | $178K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
