County 53266, WA · Census Tract 53266000723 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$598K
Downside (P10)
$258K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$629K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+89% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +89%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 53266 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $598K | $633K | $584K | $595K | $629K |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | -7.7% | +2.0% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $413K | $321K | $260K | $258K | |
| Upside (P90) | $926K | $944K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$468K to $762K
49.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$258K to $1.13M
139.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000082 | $597K | $654K | +9.6% |
| Tract 000626 | $592K | $611K | +3.2% |
| Tract 000545 | $591K | $584K | -1.1% |
| Tract 000642 | $610K | $650K | +6.6% |
| Tract 000341 | $529K | $599K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000341 | $529K | $599K | +13.3% |
| Tract 000024 | $520K | $579K | +11.4% |
| Tract 000503 | $524K | $580K | +10.8% |
| Tract 000082 | $597K | $654K | +9.6% |
| Tract 000642 | $610K | $650K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000024 | $520K | $579K | $597K |
| Tract 000503 | $524K | $580K | $599K |
| Tract 000286 | $527K | $553K | $599K |
| Tract 000341 | $529K | $599K | $686K |
| Tract 000545 | $591K | $584K | $737K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources