County 53266, WA · Census Tract 53266000545 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$591K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-47% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$584K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.05M
+77% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -47% to +77%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 53266 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $591K | $608K | $554K | $534K | $584K |
| YoY Change | +3.0% | -8.9% | -3.6% | +9.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $349K | $327K | $313K | $312K | |
| Upside (P90) | $902K | $983K | $982K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$459K to $794K
56.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$312K to $1.05M
126.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000626 | $592K | $611K | +3.2% |
| Tract 000082 | $597K | $654K | +9.6% |
| Tract 000723 | $598K | $629K | +5.2% |
| Tract 000642 | $610K | $650K | +6.6% |
| Tract 000341 | $529K | $599K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000341 | $529K | $599K | +13.3% |
| Tract 000024 | $520K | $579K | +11.4% |
| Tract 000503 | $524K | $580K | +10.8% |
| Tract 000082 | $597K | $654K | +9.6% |
| Tract 000642 | $610K | $650K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000024 | $520K | $579K | $597K |
| Tract 000503 | $524K | $580K | $599K |
| Tract 000286 | $527K | $553K | $599K |
| Tract 000341 | $529K | $599K | $686K |
| Tract 000642 | $610K | $650K | $757K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources