What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53011042601 in Vancouver · 98661 · (Tract 426.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $484,722 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53011042601 in Vancouver · 98661 · (Tract 426.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $484,722 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.1%.

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Parcel 53011042601 (Vancouver) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53011042601, Vancouver · 98661 · (Tract 426.1) Home Price Forecast

Clark, WA · ZIP 98661 · Census Tract 53011042601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$485K

Downside (P10)

$412K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$524K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$643K

+33% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$338K	$348K	$363K	$392K	$453K	$485K	$500K	$516K	$524K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$146,822	-$136,322	-$122,122	-$92,822	-$32,022		+$14,838	+$31,362	+$39,358
Growth % vs 2026	-30.3%	-28.1%	-25.2%	-19.1%	-6.6%		+3.1%	+6.5%	+8.1%
Downside (P10)							$431K	$427K	$412K
Upside (P90)							$561K	$596K	$643K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$431K to $561K

26.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$412K to $643K

44.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.1% · Spread: 44%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53011042601, Vancouver · 98661 · (Tract 426.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).