What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53011040812 in Vancouver · 98686?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $654,033 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53011040812 in Vancouver · 98686?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $654,033 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

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Parcel 53011040812 (Vancouver) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53011040812, Vancouver · 98686 Home Price Forecast

Clark, WA · ZIP 98686 · Census Tract 53011040812 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$654K

Downside (P10)

$560K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$710K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$973K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$425K	$464K	$538K	$586K	$631K	$654K	$670K	$693K	$710K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$228,933	-$190,433	-$115,933	-$67,633	-$23,333		+$15,811	+$39,411	+$56,354
Growth % vs 2026	-35.0%	-29.1%	-17.7%	-10.3%	-3.6%		+2.4%	+6.0%	+8.6%
Downside (P10)							$581K	$566K	$560K
Upside (P90)							$786K	$847K	$973K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$581K to $786K

30.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$560K to $973K

58.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.6% · Spread: 58%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53011040812, Vancouver · 98686 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).