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Clark, WA · ZIP 98684 · Census Tract 53011041317 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$444K
Downside (P10)
$407K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$520K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$670K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $190K | $215K | $232K | $261K | $282K | $322K | $375K | $392K | $434K | $444K | $463K | $488K | $520K |
| YoY Change | +9.7% | +12.9% | +7.9% | +12.7% | +8.2% | +14.0% | +16.6% | +4.4% | +10.7% | +2.3% | +4.2% | +5.5% | +6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $396K | $395K | $407K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $553K | $604K | $670K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$396K to $553K
34.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$407K to $670K
50.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver | $449K | $520K | +15.9% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041337) | $444K | $477K | +7.4% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041207) | $445K | $511K | +14.9% | |
| Battle Ground | $443K | $462K | +4.3% | |
| Minnehaha | $448K | $495K | +10.5% | |
| Hazel Dell | $439K | $499K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver | $449K | $520K | +15.9% | |
| Orchards (Tract 040712) | $484K | $593K | +22.5% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041310) | $641K | $757K | +18.1% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041323) | $460K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Orchards (Tract 041334) | $624K | $724K | +16.2% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041309) | $592K | $687K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver | $449K | $520K | $263K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041312) | $312K | $333K | $171K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 042700) | $375K | $421K | $186K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041005) | $333K | $349K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041600) | $307K | $339K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041800) | $384K | $426K | $187K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.